Description

This analysis provides a forecast of WOO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.035330 0.043981 0.054051 0.066595 0.081759 0.099450 0.121604
2025-09-07 0.023453 0.033898 0.047751 0.067288 0.093922 0.128717 0.177326
2025-09-14 0.016666 0.027014 0.042164 0.065596 0.100463 0.149857 0.224385
2025-09-21 0.012415 0.022202 0.037783 0.063815 0.105448 0.168433 0.269523
2025-09-28 0.009605 0.018761 0.034470 0.062553 0.110364 0.186890 0.316320
2025-10-05 0.008471 0.017839 0.034954 0.067334 0.125383 0.222675 0.394374
2025-10-12 0.007292 0.016500 0.034361 0.069994 0.137021 0.254234 0.469301
2025-10-19 0.006028 0.014650 0.032386 0.069653 0.143090 0.276853 0.531559
2025-10-26 0.005040 0.013113 0.030677 0.069431 0.149181 0.300037 0.597266
2025-11-02 0.004213 0.011717 0.028951 0.068800 0.154261 0.321789 0.662622
2025-11-09 0.003386 0.010086 0.026352 0.065793 0.153969 0.333098 0.709342
2025-11-16 0.002675 0.008545 0.023611 0.061917 0.151154 0.338904 0.745736
2025-11-23 0.002062 0.007146 0.021068 0.058453 0.149726 0.349535 0.797952
2025-11-30 0.001731 0.006468 0.020233 0.059071 0.157979 0.382310 0.901676
2025-12-07 0.001391 0.005625 0.018711 0.057569 0.160894 0.403833 0.984244
2025-12-14 0.001118 0.004893 0.017292 0.055990 0.163278 0.424413 1.067334
2025-12-21 0.000912 0.004308 0.016138 0.054870 0.166606 0.447606 1.159259
2025-12-28 0.000853 0.004277 0.016753 0.059112 0.185030 0.509560 1.348991
2026-01-04 0.000763 0.004079 0.016753 0.061473 0.198678 0.561512 1.520939
2026-01-11 0.000643 0.003690 0.015970 0.061170 0.204708 0.595014 1.651938
2026-01-18 0.000544 0.003351 0.015269 0.060973 0.211017 0.630091 1.791052
2026-01-25 0.000458 0.003026 0.014515 0.060413 0.216140 0.662712 1.927784
2026-02-01 0.000365 0.002612 0.013259 0.057744 0.214172 0.675726 2.015053